Sunday, December 28, 2008

Power Outages Puts 17,840 People in the Dark


A powerful storm with damaging winds accompanied by rain, freezing rain and snow has left a remaining estimated 3,330 Great Lakes Energy members without power late Sunday afternoon. A total of nearly 17,840 Great Lakes Energy members were affected by the storm, which includes an estimated 14,508 whose power was restored by crews who continue to make progress despite poor weather and road conditions.
Crews have been battling the outages since approximately 4 a.m. this morning. Great Lakes Energy crews assisted by 16 contracted line crews will continue to work as long as possible tonight to restore power to as many of the remaining estimated 3,330 Great Lakes Energy members as possible who are in parts of Antrim, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Crawford, Emmet, Kalkaska, Montmorency, Oceana, Oscoda and Otsego counties. Widespread outages were reported today in 24 of the 26 counties served by Great Lakes Energy. Great Lakes Energy members are advised to make emergency arrangements for the evening if their electricity is not restored by 10 p.m. Hardest hit by the storm were Great Lakes Energy members in Antrim, Charlevoix, Crawford, Emmet, Kalkaska and Otsego counties.
Current outage information by counties and townships that is updated every 15 minutes can be viewed on the Great Lakes Energy website, www.gtlakes.com, by clicking on Storm Central. People are reminded to stay away from downed power lines for their safety and protection. Great Lakes Energy members without power are asked to call the electric cooperative’s automated, toll-free outage number: 1-800-678-0411.


This Is Data Is From http://www.9and10news.com/

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Snow Coming to an end Tonight...Then Rain, Ice, and Snow Coming Back

First Of All I want to say Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year..When i look back i still can not believe how fast this year has gone by..

Back to the weather we have had another 4-8 inches of snow today some of the heavier places were in the U.P and In McBain..

Christmas Day it looks like we are going to see a break in the weather..I am forecasting partly cloudy skies with about 35 for the high..

Then the next big storm is going to take its eyes on us...this one is going to be very messy. It is looking like we are going to see a mix Friday morning then going to all rain. For Saturday it looks like we are going to get all rain..with highs in the middle to upper 40's. Also looks like there is a good chance of severe weather for Saturday..Could be an outbreak.. This is all thanks to a lower level jet that is going to be quite strong witch will feed the region with warm moist air. Then Sunday it looks like we are going to freeze up again with highs in the 20's

Merry Christmas from Dylan's Weather...Also have an amazing new year and stay with us..Lots of new updates are going to come in the new year!!!!

Merry Christmas
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
http://www.dylansweather.com/

Here Is A New High Definition Video For The Website

Dylan's Weather H-D Intro 2 from Dylan Rodenbaugh on Vimeo.

Friday, December 19, 2008

Snow Storm Delivered...Now another one!

The snow storm did come together right and we did get quite a bit of snow... Here are some reports of New Snow

Hart 11.7"
Newaygo 13"
Mt. Pleasant 11.9"
McBain 9"
Cadillac 10"
Williamsburg 5.1"
Big Rapids 9"
Hersey 9.6"
St. Helen 7.2"

Now we are getting ready for the next storm system..The system is coming in from the Rockies and looks to be packing quite a punch..Now the latest computer forecast model is showing that we could see 5-10 maybe 12" in some areas... That is almost turning out to be the normal around here!!!. It also looks like we could see another storm system for Christmas eve..No i am not going to forecast that one for a while...just a little far out to guesstimate!!! :)

Now my blog post may be a little spaced out right now..not updating a lot of stuff right now.. Its for the huge over hall for the new site..Still a ton of work to be one..So i will try to post when i get some free time or we have some big weather coming our way..Really guys this site should look awesome...CANT WAIT

Merry Christmas
Dylan
http://www.dylansweather.com/

Thursday, December 18, 2008

Watching the storm System

OK..Now it looks like the storm system is going to not hit us as hard as i would have liked..I really enjoy all the storm systems..

OK so now it looks like we could have more like 8" inches instead of some of the heavier snow..It looks like we could see some heavier snow down state...

It also looks like we could see some more ice with snow in Iowa....That also could be interesting..

OK I Will Have More Tomorrow Night...
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Another Monster Storm On Thursday Night Into Friday

OK Once again we are going to see another snow storm...O Boy!

This one looks to be more of a Snow producer here. Some forecast models show that we could have as much as 12" inches of snow.. But once again the forecast models can agree...SHOCKER...It seems that every time i turn around they change..One model said that we could have a good dose of freezing rain..Another one said that it would miss most of northern Michigan.

I am going with the forecast that brings the snow in over night..Around 11 to 12 Thursday Nigh that i think the snow will start and bring us more heavy snow..

OK So Here is my forecast... I am forecasting that we will get around 8-12 Inches in McBain Alone..So for everywhere else it is looking the farther south you go the worse the totals get..Until you reach the freezing precip. line then you are in really big trouble

P.S The Model showed that the Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois State Borders That all connect we could see over a 1.25 Of Ice....WOW

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Monday, December 15, 2008

New Video Forecast

Here is the forecast graphic...It looks like we could see .10 inches of ice possible..Something that is going to have to be watched...very closely

I Will Keep In Touch....
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
http://www.dylansweather.com/




Here is a New Video Forecast...I'm giving it a try..

Winter Ice Storm Update 5:30 A.M

Good Morning..

Wow these storm systems are getting nastier and nastier. We have had the starting of the "Flash Freeze". It is making all the water on the roads frozen which is causing huge travel problems. Now we also have dropped the temperatures from 40 Degrees at 3:30 A.m and we have already dropped down to 30 Degrees.

We have also had a huge wind component with this system. The Mackinac Bridge has closed to High Profile Vehicles. We have a wind advisory for wind that could exceed gusts up to 55 MPH. That is huge. It sounds like the house is ready to fall over..But it sounds really cool.

We Also Have Over 80 School Closings and NO Delays... It looks like we will be going over on those. Have 4/5 used :(

A Really Nasty Storm..I Will Have Updates

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Storm/Forecast Update...Still in the Air

OK so Here is the latest update from the weather center.

Friday night looks to be clear with very little or no snow. Then Saturday we could see a few rain or snow showers with the warm front approaching.

Then it looks like we are going to have quite a storm. It looks like we will start off with some snow Saturday afternoon then have a break over night. Then the interesting part of the whole story comes in. It looks now that the storm system will also have fighting cold and warm air pockets. Basically there is a warm ridge starting to form.But there is also a cold air ridge that is also trying to form. Now it looks like this system will tap into the gulf moisture which means that there will be a ton of moisture with the system.

Now Back onto the system. It looks like we could see quite a few issues. I am forecasting a light rain turning into a heaver rain in the afternoon with highs in the middle 40's. Now we should see a switch over from rain to freezing rain. Here lies the next problem. We could have a long period of freezing rain. Or a very fast period of rain.. It all depends.

Later in the evening it looks like we will all switch back into snow. Also some forecast models are saying that we could be in quite a bit of trouble with the snow. We could possibly see a complete repeat of the storm that we seen on Monday night threw Wednesday night. It once again looks like there will be a ton of moisture with the system.

This will be interesting and i will definitely keep everyone updated. Check out the latest snow totals at the post under this one!

I'll Defiantly stay on top of this..Talk To You Tomorrow
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
http://www.dylansweather.com/

Some Of The Lastest Snow Totals

Here is the Lastest Snows Amounts On The Ground.. This is from the NWS

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

More Snow, Rain, and Ice In The Forecast!!!!! :(

Here We Got Again.. We are now going to get more snow. We have an Alberta clipper on the way. It looks like we could have 1-3 inches in the U.P and really a trace in the Northern Lower Peninsula
It now also looks like we could see some more snow on Friday. This would be with a Warm front. We could get 2-4 inches in some of the heavy Spots. Then here comes some of the bigger problems. The warm front is going to pass on and then here comes the warmth. It looks like we could almost see a few 40 Degrees temperatures on Saturday.. Then we will go way down hill.. The system will start to move in..We will first start out with rain. That will start to see a switch over into Ice and that is when the problem comes in. Now I am not going to start on how much or how little Ice We Will See. That is still WAY WAY up in the air. But it could be very slick.

The rain that falls on Sunday will also freeze on Sunday Night that could make every thing come to a stand still. Then we could switch back over to snow Sunday Night.

There is still a ton up in the air. I will keep you guys Updated
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Winter Storm Afternoon Update

Let It Snow Let it Snow... Its still snowing like cats and dogs up here in Mcbain... Our new Snow Totals Are Right Around 11' inches and we are probably getting about an Inch and Hour of snow maybe a little heavier. I have had a report of 20" inches of snow Already

I have talk to some of the local meteorologist and the new est. of snow could reach somewhere around 16-18 inches of new snow form this snow storm. That is a TON of snow..

I have looked at some of the snow pack are right around 2-2 1/2 FT of snow on the ground.. There is even greater amounts around the area...

This season has been a wild one.. We have had a snow storm every week to week in a half..which is scary because i read one forecast in October for the winter and it said that we could see this much snow this early..Really quite scary... It also said that we would have a warmer December and then we would go back down hill...

Just a heads up...I am now forecasting that this weekend we will once again see another snow storm..This one could bring us Ice, Snow, Sleet, and even rain.. It could be quite a mess!

I Will have an Evening Update With Pictures...
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
http://www.dylansweather.com/

Winter Storm A.M Update

Good morning Northern Michigan,

Our forecast have been almost exactly on track. We have actually beat our morning snow totals.. We forecasted 6"inches in some spots by 8A.M I just went outside and took an average of the snow amounts and we are about 7 1/2 inches here. So we are straight on track for our 14 inches forecast.

Now we have seen a ton of school closings and delays. You can check those out at http://dylansweather.googlepages.com/info

Now about the forecast.. I am expecting really some more snow showers after this whole thing is done..We also could have some good winds start to develop and that could cause some small blowing which would make the roads even worse..they are already bad.

Really there are no bad storms in the forecast the rest of the week. The GFS model is saying that there could be a very nasty snow storm for Sunday into Monday...This could be a very nasty mixed snow storm..Our temperatures are looking like they could be in the 30's...Which means ice

I'll have another Afternoon Update..Stay Tuned
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Monday, December 8, 2008

Winter Storm Warnings Have Been Posted Until 1A.M Wednesday

More Severe Winter Weather On The Way


This Is From Doppler 9an10 Meteorologist Tom O'Hare

Here comes another one! Winter Storm Warnings are posted for all of lower Michigan for tonight through all of tomorrow. Winter Weather Advisories are posted for the Eastern UP.Overnight look for snow to develop over most of lower Michigan. It may be nearly daybreak before it begins near the Straits and in the UP. An inch of snow is possible far north. Coming south there is a good chance of up to 3", overnight, for many areas. Lows drop into the mid 20's. Winds remain light.Tuesday will be a very wintery day. Substantial wet snow is expected for all of lower Michigan with the heaviest snow band of 6-12" running between M-32 and M-55, including Gaylord, Grayling, Houghton Lake, Cadillac and Traverse City. South of there, snow will run 3-5+". Across the UP 2-3 " is more like it.

Lower Michigan snow will be wet and heavy and producing very slushy, slippery roads quickly, tomorrow morning. Where heavier snow falls roads will become snow packed quickly.Snow continues into Tuesday night with additional lighter accumulation possible. Behind this storm, snow showers stay with us through Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures will be very cold again Wednesday before moderating into the 20's for Thursday and Friday. Temperatures climb into the 30's for many areas over the weekend.

Sunday, December 7, 2008

Get Ready For A Mack-Daddy Storm

Get Ready for another potentially monster storm


This Is From Doppler 9and10 Meteorologist Jim Lehocky:

A very unsettled pattern, once again, will take shape for the first half of the new work week. In the near term through Monday late morning, we have a Winter Weather Advisory for Chippewa County for Lake Effect/System snow while Mackinac County is under a Lake Effect Snow Warning for moderate to heavy lake snow.

Amounts could exceed 6" with this system in these two counties...especially west of I-75 and south of M-28.A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for the most of the Lower Peninsula for Monday evening to Wednesday a.m. as another winter storm, this one coming from the southern plains, will take aim on the Great Lakes for later Monday into Tuesday (and possibly Wednesday a.m.!) One computer model takes the center of the storm through SE Lower Michigan and NW Ohio (this track favors quite the storm for Michigan!) while another computer model tracks it way farther south (the brunt of the storm missing the state).Basically snow will expand eastward into the state later tonight and Monday and increase as we head into Monday evening and Tuesday.

Again, the path of this storm is still not set in stone so we do have to keep an eye on it. But the way this late autumn pattern has been going, the favored track could be the one that really impacts the state for late Monday into Tuesday and early Wednesday. A lot of wind will be on the northern side of this storm for Tuesday and Wednesday which could produce some near blizzard conditions IF the storm indeed does move across SE Lower Michigan.Amounts with this storm will be substantial depending on that storm track.People with travel interests for the next few days anywhere in the state (and the Great Lakes for that matter) should keep close tabs on the changing weather conditions.

Please note the Winter Weather Alerts on the www.9and10news.com/weather for the latest in advisories, warnings and watches.As for school closings, viewers need to remember that we do *not close schools. Each district's superintendents make that decision. Any delays or school closings will be posted on the Closings and Delay page of our website.Our Doppler 9&10FOX 33 Weather Team will be watching this storm closely. Keep it tuned to 9&10/FOX 33 Weather and watch for updates on www.9and10news.com/weather or www.fox33.com/weather.

Saturday, December 6, 2008

More Snow is on the way

OK Get Ready... Here comes some more. We already have winter storm Waring's and even blizzard warnings threw the area..Some estimates of some snow totals were up to 14" since last night...that's a ton.

Now i just checked out the wind gust and get ready and hold your hats.. We have wind gust up to 50 MPH coming our way and winds sustained at 20-30 MPH...

This means that we can expect white out conditions with tons of blowing snow and even more snow falling..

The bulls eye looks to be on Atnrim Country because the winds will be out the west which means that will be were the heaviest snow is going to fall. So be prepared for another 6-8 inches of snow in the normal heavy snow belt areas

Now for next week we are also looking at another possible storm for Monday night into Tuesday which could bring some more heavy snow to the region.....Can't Wait

Talk To You Tomorrow
Dylan Rodenbaugh
www.dylansweather.com

Friday, November 28, 2008

New Preview Of The New Website

Ok...So I have been Hinting on a New Website...here is a first look

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

A Very Tricky Intresting Scenario Shaping Up

Hey Guys..Sorry i haven't been posting regularly..There has been a lot going on with the new website and I'm in a huge musical..so i have been really busy with that.

Anyways lets get straight down to the weather because there is a lot to talk about..



Right now there is a low off in the Western Sea-board that looks pretty harmless right now but is straightening as I talk. The low is now looking like it will drop down into Georgia and Tennessee by Sunday Early Morning and then riding threw Ohio and possibly into Michigan. Now there has been a lot of talk about how much snow we could get..Some people have been saying if it heads farther south that we could see little amounts 1-3 inches. Now if the storm takes a more northerly track we could see some very heavy snow fall early Monday. Now those accumulations possibly could range up to 16+ inches if you factor the lake effect behind it.


That's the next part of the blog. There is now looking like a huge area of cold air will start to head down to the south. That is pointing at -8 degrees blow normal so highs would be in the lower 20's. With strong northerly winds that could equal a very very heavy lake effect snow machine.


Then after this huge low system some of the forecast models are hinting that we could see some very very cold air start to take over Canada. Then the models are saying that it could possibly pounce on the U.S with the coldest air we have seen this season.

Lot to talk about...I Will Keep you updated..

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
dylansweather.googlepages.com

Monday, November 17, 2008

Snow Will Continue Through out the Week

We have finally seen winter start to make a return...Snow showers have been increasing as the lakes let more snow fall.. This week looks like that will continue, The jet stream has dipped down to almost to Florida which is bring more cold air and which will lead to more snow... Now there is a chance this week on Thursday with a snow storm. Now it wouldn't be a big snow storm at all. But it could give us the first real system snow.

But other than that there is really nothing interesting weather going on in Northern Michigan...

Stay Tuned

Dylan
Junior Meteorologist

Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Its Been Awhile... Snow Is Returning and Say Hello To Winter


Hey Guys...


Sorry it has been a long time since my last post... I have been every busy with school and working on some Major components to Dylan's Weather and its Future.... So Sorry for the Long Wait.... Was Not Expecting To Be This Busy


OK first from the headline above yes we are not really going to see any return to warmth until next year. We are looking at an La.Nina Pattern setting up again...or at least it is in the early stages. What that means is that we could see a colder and wetter winter pattern..



So Now onto the forecast.. This week looks like we are going to see lots of snow/rain/and wind. Monday into Tuesday we are going to have another big front move into the area which will bring even more rain and snow with temperatures that could leave possibly lower 20's for highs in Michigan. Defiantly the coldest air this season so far. We are also seeing a pattern show that is looking like a lot of stormy weather is on the way for us..:) Looks like a lot of Fun....



P.S There is going to be a lot of changes to the website.. Right now it looks like we are going to start a New H-D video forecast starting in January 2009... Also it looks Now like we are going to get a new H-D LIVE STREET LEVEL Doppler radar... That is one out of many reasons why i have been so busy


Thanks


Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
dylansweather.googlepages.com

Saturday, October 18, 2008

The Week Ahead

This Next Week Is Going To Be Very Interesting. The forecast model that you can see is showing that we could have some very cold air next week Tuesday. The forecast is saying that we could see Temperatures in the 40's for highs and maybe some upper teens for the lows. THAT'S COLD... We are also forecasting that this week will be almost like a roller coaster ride. There is going to be days that are going to be warm and sunny and then the next day its going to be rainy and cold. So get ready for an up and down week.

Now I'm going on a limb right now. But indications are that by Next Sunday Night Oct. 25 that we could see some snow... YES SNOW... It looks like it will be cold enough for some areas to see some wet flakes and maybe some ice. Now this is a very long way out for forecasting snow. But there is a possibility for seeing some snow.

Also one more thing for today. I'm Sorry for the small problems with the forecast graphics updating. I know that some days they don't update. My Internet is having a fit and works some days and doesn't the others. So if it continues this week i will get a hold of the Internet company and we will get this fixed.

So that's my intake on the weather for right now...If something happens i will tell you on here.
Junior Meteorologist
Dylan Rodenbaugh

Thursday, October 16, 2008

This Week Has Been Busy and Next Week Could Be Frost

OK.. First I want to say sorry for the website wasn't updated for a few days. School kind of caught up with me and i was busy working on school work... and no sleep. But it is updated for Thursday night.




The Forecast is for some very cold air at night this next week. This could mean that we could see widespread frost/freeze in the are this upcoming week. The 8-Day Explains it all


Also one more note that Hurricane Olmar is spinning in the Atlantic but it is no big deal for the U.S

Sorry For The Short Blog Tonight... Really Tiered
Junior Meteorologist
Dylan Rodenbaugh

Monday, October 13, 2008

Really Warm Air is going to be going away

Wow! It was Warm Today. Temperatures were in the 70's and some lower 80's. That is really warm for October in Northern Michigan. But it wont last long, we are starting to see rain in the area tonight. Now it wont be a total wash out, most of the rain will be in the U.P.

After tonight the temperatures are going to drop back down to normal and then maybe below normal. Now really we are trying to put the curtain doom out. I'm talking about snow, I have talked to some many people who say that they don't want snow and that i am a weather guy so that i should try to hold off the snow. Well unfortunately that is impossible and by the end of this month we could very possibly have snow. Sorry for the bad news.... So that's all for right now...

Junior Meteorologist
Dylan Rodenbaugh

Monday, September 29, 2008

Cold, and Rain Is Going To Hit Us Hard This Week

Ok Guys Here Is The Lastest on this week. We are going to see a lot of cold this week. Now Tuesday and Wednesday are going to be very rainy. Basically we are going to see on and off rain the 2 days. Now on Wednesday night there is a chance for mabe some Ice pellets to be mixed in. Yes in a lose term that is snow. Now its not going to be bad... But thats how cold it is. Now after that it should start to turn nicer.. Now not really any warmer...just nicer.

Now i wanted to also bring up that if you want to that this weekend will be great for seeing colors on the trees. Temperatures will be in the 50's and 60's and it should be partly Sunny the whole weekend. Now after that there is a lot up in the air for next week. It could either be nice and sunny. Or we could see another repeat of this week with rain and cold.

One more thing for the weather blog tonight.... If you havent looked at the local forecast that they are brand new. I used Nasa World Wind For The Background. Now i also made it look more tecno.. Which is the theam of my new site. Also the heading is updated and I'm Trying not to make everything look so big... So Lots Of Changes!!!

That's All For Now
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist

Thursday, September 25, 2008

The Week Ends Nicely...Then Everything Goes Down Hill

So Here's the scoop... Some things have changed in the forecast since last night. So like I was saying last night. Friday Saturday and Some of Sunday will be there nice. We Will see lots of warm moist air in the area. Then on Sunday will will see a cold front that goes through. Monday we will start to see the drop in temperatures. Like 70's and that would be pushing it. That's also the start of the pattern of really cloudy wet unstable days. Now at the end of the 8-Day Forecast.. See The Lows... Were getting in the 30's for lows.... That Could Mean We Could see some mixing of the rain in really cold spots... Yes it is possible and it has happened before!

The Jet Stream Is Still looking like it is going to take that dip as i forecast ed. The Model has changed and said that the ridge of warm air will be pretty slow moving. That means that once this typical ridge sets up that we will see some very cool and maybe even down right cold air, with rain and wind for what could possibly for the next 10 days... Sorry for the bad news :(...


One More big point... I said that those storms are no big deal... Well they got stronger.. We now have Tropical Storm Kyle on our hands.. This storm is going to move north in the Atlantic until it hits Maine or Canada... Now really I'm not that worried.. I Don't Think It Will Be That bad up there.



Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

The Warm Weather Is Going To Try To Hang On... But Will Not Win Out

Hey Guys,


Sorry I Haven't Posted In awhile.. There is a quite a few things that need to be mentioned for the days ahead.... For the short term we are looking at still warm conditions until Saturday.. That means that we are going to see lots of 70's and just a few 80's. Then Sunday we start to see fall make an entrance. Then temperatures are going to tumble. On Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday we could only see temperatures in the lower 60's and 50's


OK So Now Onto my next point. I have took a close look at the forecast for the next few days and there is an interesting that could happened.. Some Models are saying that the jet stream will start to dip... That means that we will see days in the 60's and 70's and then a cold front hits and then we go back down into the 60's... The other thing this could mean is that we will see a very rainy and cloudy patterned for a while....


One More Quick thing for the Weather Blog tonight... There is also some possible tropical development.. Now its nothing to worry about.. The systems are going to move up the coast..and not affect the oil platforms... :)



That's my view on the world forecast... See You Soon

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

A Frosty End To The Day... Then More Sunshine


OK.... Sorry I Said That I Would Update This On Tuesday.... Well I Had An Unexpected Singing Practice for Church..... Anyways Tonight is going to be a cold and chilly night. Were not going to see frost everywhere... I think that the frost will be in low-lying areas that usually see the colder temps. As for tomorrow, we are going to see generous amounts of sunshine but it is not going to be as warm as it was today... We Will Only see highs in the 60's around the area...As For Friday the same forecast holds true... We Will see lots of sunshine but the temperatures are going to tick up a few degrees..Now the next Chance of rain is going to be on Saturday with a cold front.. Now there is a few things up in the air on that. If 9and10's forecast is right then the cold front is no big deal and we will see no rain out of it... Now i did my forecast a little different then theirs... I said that there is going to be some pop up storms with some locally strong... so there is the forecast for right now... I will try to have a weekend forecast update on Friday... Take Care



Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist

Sunday, September 14, 2008

WOW.... Lot's Of Rain Fell This Weekend and New Stuff


Wow.... It has been a weekend.... We got a lot of more rain here in northern Michigan this weekend!!! Here at my studio in McBain we got "1.52" Inches and it made the grass that much greener.... Anyways its Sunday and i have had Internet issues all day:(..... So that gave me the opportunity to make a new 8-day forecast... Now even i was shocked for how this came out... It only took 4 hours to make but it looks like a 9and10news graphic....



Anyways the forecast is that tonight there is going to be a few showers but nothing bad.... Tomorrow it is going to start off the day with some cloudy conditions and then becoming clear... The temperatures aren't going to show it... We are going to stay in the upper 50's for the day... Now on Monday night, I'm still looking into this but there is a possibility for frost... So I will have more on that later.... Its like 10:00 P.M so i better get going..... Update this soon.



Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Thursday Not Looking That Bad Then Rain on and off threw the weekned.


First of all.... I'm sorry that i haven't gotten to my weather blog in a long time... Before school started. Well I think that i have a system down that will help me in getting everything that needs to be done...done... Anyways i just wanted to say that's why i haven't been posting... Way to busy and not enough hour's in the day... :(


OK So enough about me... let's talk about the weather... We are finally getting some much needed rain. All the lawn's are returning from there brown to there green's again!! We aren't in any kind of drought and i think that will continue threw out the rest of the year. Tonight is going to be a really nice night. We will not see any frost and really have nothing to worry about. Now as for Thursday i think that we will see increasing cloud's in the afternoon and some rain chances for the night and into early Friday. Now i don't think that Friday will be a complete wash out.. Just some rain in the morning and then drying out for the afternoon and the evening hours. Now for this weekend it's going to 30-70... Which means that Saturday is going to be a complete wash out.. With ton's of rain in the area... We are going to see the other side of the cold front... Then Sunday is going to start to dry out before possibly seeing the remnants of "Ike"


That's all for now... Go to my website.
dylansweather.googlepages.com
Dylan

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Tuesday Was Hot... But Cooling Way Down


Rain would be nice right now, and tonight a few of you will see some but not everyone. The dry air overhead is going win out as a strong cold front comes rolling into Northern Michigan tonight. That means the showers and storms to our west will fall apart and not much rain is expected. The best chance of seeing the rain will be in the U.P. Tomorrow looks a bit cloudier with some scattered showers or storms. However, the rain is going to be limited to areas east of of line from Alpena to Newaygo. So, this means most of you will not see any rain tomorrow. The storms that do develop are not expected to turn severe but could be quite strong for those of you east of I-75. The one thing everyone will experience is the cooler air. Highs are only going to reach the 60's and 70's. Thursday dries up for a little while with partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies. Then our eyes are watching the remnants of Gustav head up towards Michigan. Right now it looks like you'll see some rain from the system starting Thursday night and continuing through much of Friday. Unsettled weather dominates the weekend pattern too, with mostly cloudy skies and some showers. Highs remain seasonable with the mercury topping out in the 60's to low 70's.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

There Is A Wild Card For Next Week.

There is a lot of the forecast up in the air next week. The funny thing is that it all lies on something that is happening in the gulf as we speak. Hurricane Gustav Is spinning in the gulf and could hit New Orleans sometime on Tuesday morning. Now we just passed Hurricane Katrina's 3 Year anniversary.



So here is the wild card. Scenario #1 An European forecast model is saying that Gustav will gain tremendous amount of Strength over the next couple of days. Now if this is true we could see one of my favorite thing's :{ A high pressure system develop over us for the out flow from Gustav. Now if this happens we are going to stay nice and hot next week with little if any rain.



Scenario# 2. The U.S forecast model is saying that we will see a weaker Gustav and that intend will lead no high pressure and it will rain on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday of next week. Now personalty I'm hoping that this second scenario is going to happen.. We need the rain bad... and only getting worse.


Now just as our luck would have it. The Nation Hurricane Center is forecasting Gustav To be a Power full Cat. 3 Hurricane... That would intend that we should see a high pressure system develop and we stay dry with fire danger rapidly Increasing.



NOW HERE IS THE FORECAST


Friday dries out quickly and we should see good sunshine by mid-day. Across the UP skies stay a little cloudier. High temperatures still reach the low 70's far north to near 80 far south.Saturday starts much the same way but more sunshine spreads north. Temperatures will still be comfortable with highs in the 70's to around 80. By Sunday, however, real heat begins to build. Highs Sunday reach the mid 80's in the warm spots with lots of sunshine.Labor Day, Monday, will be full summer. Sunny and hot for most spots. Highs reach well into the 80's for both peninsulas, and temperatures only go up from there. By Tuesday many locations flirt with record high temperatures in the 90's.

Friday, August 22, 2008

Weeknd Get's Some Rain


Limited showers and thunderstorms have broken out already this afternoon and while chances of rain diminish some overnight, the best chances for widespread rains comes tomorrow. The few evening showers will taper off tonight. Look for cloudy skies and mild overnight temperatures with lows only in the 60's to near 70. Winds will remain breezy from the S-SW. Saturday starts with chances of rain right away though the most likely showers occur during the late morning and through the afternoon. Earliest rains will be across the far northern counties and the eastern UP. Mid-day and afternoon showers are more likely across most of the lower penninsula. Highs tomorrow reach the upper 70's far north to mid-80's far south. Winds will be brisk from the SW shifting NNW late in the afternoon or evening.Saturday night we dry out and Sunday looks mostly sunny, cool and dry. Highs will reach the upper 60's to mid 70's, only. Monday through Wednesday look dry. Our next good chance of rain doesn't arrive until Thursday.

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay Won't Leave

Well It's Been about a week since we first started to worry about tropical storm fay. It is really doing a good thing for the south west. They are in a serious drought that has been going on for years. This won't end it... But it will really help!


Here is the forecasted track that we think Tropical Storm fay will take. Now currently fay has straightened to winds at 60 MPH and the pressure is at 997 and is dropping. Now we expect fay to hit land again tomorrow over the northern part of Florida. Then move into Georgia and Alabama into the next few days. Which is going to really help there drought down there.

Now There was some forecast models that was pointing on fay to move up into our region and then we would get a few inches of rain which was good. But i said this in my previous post that i do not like the highs right now. We have to highs that is keeping rain from moving into northern Michigan. They have also made fay stay down to the south. So that's why we aren't getting any rain.



Now the forecast models are all over the place. As you can see the diagram that there is some that is pointing that day will go into the gulf and some say fay will move north. But most of them are pointing that fay will just meander around the SW region for a while. Then the high pressure system will start to break down and then we will start seeing chances of rain.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Northern Michigan NEED's RAIN

Wow is it dry.. We haven't seen a good soaking rain since June when we has all the 10 Inches of rain in like 2 Day's.But Now we need some. I would really like it if it came in the form of severe weather.But any rain is good. The 8-day forecast is showing some rain on Saturday.But I'm not keeping my hopes up.What i really think is going to happen is that some areas will see some rain but it won't be a wide spread thing and i don't think that it will help us much.This dry slot that we are seeing in NM is from these Stupid High Pressure systems that just sit and keep everything dry.As you can tell there not my favorite...



Here's The Forecast High Pressure is going delivering some cool nights. Tonight's skies remain clear and allows all of today's heat to escape back to space. That means some cool temperatures. Much of the region will drop down into the 40's, but some of the normally colder spots can expect readings in the 30's.Tomorrow is just like today with sunny skies. You could call it Arizona weather but with highs in the 70's to low 80's. Thursday continues the trend of bright sunshine but with slightly warmer temperatures. It looks like all of the area will see highs in the 80's. The humidity rises Thursday night, so it won't be all that cold. Look for lows in the 50's and 60's. The humidity continues increasing Friday along with the heat too. Some spots will be near 90 Friday with the possibility of few afternoon showers or storms. The next decent chance of wet weather arrives Saturday. That chance comes along a very strong cold front. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected as the system comes through. You could see some heavy rain and strong winds. Skies will calm down considerably going into Sunday. Fire Danger is Moderate to High across Northern Michigan. With dry air expected the next few days, we do not see any improvement until Saturday.

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Next Week Looking Dry and Hot

Today was a nice Day. We had a few rain showers and some storms with small or any rain amounts. Some indications are that this could be the last rain that we see in 10 Days. Which means that the fire danger is back on the rise. Some that this something to watch out for. Now the forecast Models are saying that there is going to be a low that is going to meander up north. Now it all depends how much farther north it goes. If it stays down south than we are going to be dry and really really warm. Now if it moves farther north we could see quite a bit of rain fall. So i will keep you updated



Here is the forecast. Tomorrow looks little different than today with generous sunshine early on, then more cloudiness and a chance of a few showers. It does look like tomorrow will produce even fewer showers than today while temperatures remain much the same. Highs in the 70's.Saturday and Sunday begin a solid warm-up. Highs on Saturday will reach upper 70's to mid 80's. By Sunday highs reach the 80's for almost all and next week looks like it will be even warmer with highs reaching the upper 80's or more. The weekend looks dry at this time. In fact our next chance of rain doesn't appear in the forecasts until later next week.

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Dry Week Ahead


Well today we did see some pop-corn clouds as we call it pop up. There caused by the day time heating. But really nothing happened today in the weather department. We are watching some rain that is in wisconsin. But we are in High Pressure and the rain will dive down to our south. We really need some rain, starting to get dry out there.



Here is the forecast. No showers, yet, but through the evening hours a random pop-up shower is still possible especially across our far NE counties in lower Michigan. Lows overnight, like last night, hit the upper 40's to mid 50's. Wednesday will be a little cloudier and therefore slightly cooler. It may be the best day for chances of rain but showers should be widely scattered and not, too, numerous spreading north to south during the day. Highs tomorrow range from 72 to 79.Wednesday night and Thursday will be mostly dry though, again, there is a slight chance for isolated showers both periods. Highs remain in the 70's to near 80. Lows in the 50's.By Friday high pressure takes over once more and we are looking at excellent conditions Friday, Saturday and likely Sunday. Skies should be sunny to partly cloudy all three days with the cloudiest period being late Sunday. Temperatures will range through the 70's to low 80's.

Thursday, August 7, 2008

More Storms Today And Cool Air Is On The Way


There Was A Few Storms this Afternoon and there was some small hail reports. Nothing Much. We also had some severe thunderstorm warnings. It was kind of a cool rain pattern. The rain set up in bands and it looked like lake affect snow.... But thats way off...we hope! As You can see this is what the rain looked like on our very own XTREME Doppler...Anyway Heres the Forecast



Tonight, mostly dry conditions are expected. Lows will be in the 50's.Friday could be a repeat performance with mixed skies with a few thunderstorms mostly near the Lake Huron area. Highs will be in the lower to middle 70's with some upper 60's near Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.The weekend is looking more and more unsettled now. A cold front is now forecasted to drop southward into the region. This will give us a chance for a few showers and storms Saturday into Sunday a.m...then clearing out for Sunday afternoon and evening.

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

Storms Are Moving In


Heres the Scoop. We have Some Storms Moving In From Wisonsion. There could be some heavy downpoors. We really arnt Expetcting severe weather. But you never know, mother nature can do some amazing things. After this round of storms that you can see just on the left edge of our Xreme Doppler. We are expecting some rain to move through the night. Which will give us some much needed rain!


Here's the Forecast. Look for lots of northwest winds in the coming days, some sunshine at times, and also hit and miss afternoon showers to go with the cool air aloft. Tonight's lows will be mainly in the 50s. Tomorrow will be a tad cooler, but not much, with 70s across the board and another late day shower/storm chance. Friday and Saturday will be the coolest of the forecast period with highs in the upper 60s for the UP and even much of northern lower, with low to MAYBE mid 70s south. Sunday will warm again to the 70s but Monday the cool air may make another push. Lows Friday and Saturday night will likely fall to the 40 in many areas with 50s near the lakes and areas of fog.



I also want to tell people that there could be some big changes to the weather page. What there doing is shutting down googlepages. So i have an idea that im going to do. Its with the help of a T.V station in Cadillac Called Local Edition. I'm just going to tell you that they are really good people! Can't wait to work with them. So i will tell you as we work things out. But for now don't Worry... Everything will work out!

Monday, August 4, 2008

Nice Day in The North... Soggy day in the south

Hey guys,

Here is an update on the weather today. It was kind of a mixed bag. We had a nice day in the Northern Areas with temperatures in the mid-80's. We also had a pretty good day in the south with temperatures also in the mid-80's. But we did see storms fire up and head across the south. But it wasnt that bad of a day. Now we did have a few reports of some trees down but nothing to bad.

Tonight we are forecasting temperatures will be in the lower to mid-60's and it will be quite humid. Now we do have to watch for the possiblitly for some storms. Because we have dew points that are in the middle and upper 60's which is quite humid. For tomorrow we expect temperatures to be in the low 80's and we do expect some rain to move through and we could see some storong or severe storms. Not as nice as today.

Friday, August 1, 2008

Storm's End and Weekend Looking Amazing


Today was intersting. We did have a severe thunderstrom watch but that was just a percoustion. We could have had a lot worse. We did not ecpect the storms to die over the lakes. The storms did not refire over Northern Michigan. So you may have gotten a shower but we didn't have a bad night. This weekend is looking amazing. We expect Temperatures in the 70's and 80's With all SUNSHINE!!! We are expecting some showers on sunday night but nothing to go home about. So have a fun weekend and I will be back on monday....posibly watch for some more storms. But we will worry about that latter.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Today has been busy


Here's an update. A small tornado from overnight thunderstorms flattened a barn and damaged property in Clare County.The National Weather Service surveyed the damage at a home on Old U.S. 27 North of Clare. Two walls are all that's left of a nearly 90 year old barn that came crashing down. An old tractor inside the barn was spared. And the roof a carport ended up in a tree in the front yard of a family's home. No one was hert. I have also been very busy with our website ( http://dylansweather.googlepages.com/ ) I have added a new toolbar which helps me out cause now i can add more data and give you guys more options. I have also made it easier to acsses 9and10 news and tv 7-4. I have added links in the toolbar. So now all you have to do is log on and you dont have to go anywere else! Also my website has gotten 72 people to view it today. We are almost at 600 in a month!!!

Strong Storms Raked Northern Michigan Last Night


Wow was last night busy. At first I did not think we would see a lot of storms. But as the storm complex moved on shore they exploed. The atmosphere was primed but it was night. Thats why we did not see severe weather. We had a lot of lighting at our studio. It even nocked Tv 9-10 off the air for awhile. There was also a report of some small hail in Manistee and in northern clare county there was a report of high winds that nocked a barn over. But other than that we just had wind and heavy rain leading to some pretty good rain totals.



Todays forecast is that we could see a few thunderstroms up above a line from Manistee to Houghton Lake. Temperatures will be in the upper 70's to some low 80's and the dew points are on the rise. This meens that we will feel more humid out side and that will meen more unconforatable sleeping weather. Temperatures tonight in the middle 60's

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Watching Storms Moving In


Well Its about 9:14 P.M and I'm Watching a storm line moving in from Wisconsin. There are some heavy storm cores and some moderate rain. Right Now we have temperatures in the middle 70's and skies are becoming more cloudy. We really don't expect a lot of severe weather. There is a chance of some storms that could reach the severe Level. But as the sun goes down that chance will diminish.



For tonight I am forecasting temperatures in the middle to upper 60's. Its going to be quite bad sleeping weather. After the rain moves out in the early morning hours we are expecting a sunny morning with with a nice sunrise. Then we are going to be in a pretty warm day tomorrow.