Thursday, August 28, 2008

There Is A Wild Card For Next Week.

There is a lot of the forecast up in the air next week. The funny thing is that it all lies on something that is happening in the gulf as we speak. Hurricane Gustav Is spinning in the gulf and could hit New Orleans sometime on Tuesday morning. Now we just passed Hurricane Katrina's 3 Year anniversary.



So here is the wild card. Scenario #1 An European forecast model is saying that Gustav will gain tremendous amount of Strength over the next couple of days. Now if this is true we could see one of my favorite thing's :{ A high pressure system develop over us for the out flow from Gustav. Now if this happens we are going to stay nice and hot next week with little if any rain.



Scenario# 2. The U.S forecast model is saying that we will see a weaker Gustav and that intend will lead no high pressure and it will rain on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday of next week. Now personalty I'm hoping that this second scenario is going to happen.. We need the rain bad... and only getting worse.


Now just as our luck would have it. The Nation Hurricane Center is forecasting Gustav To be a Power full Cat. 3 Hurricane... That would intend that we should see a high pressure system develop and we stay dry with fire danger rapidly Increasing.



NOW HERE IS THE FORECAST


Friday dries out quickly and we should see good sunshine by mid-day. Across the UP skies stay a little cloudier. High temperatures still reach the low 70's far north to near 80 far south.Saturday starts much the same way but more sunshine spreads north. Temperatures will still be comfortable with highs in the 70's to around 80. By Sunday, however, real heat begins to build. Highs Sunday reach the mid 80's in the warm spots with lots of sunshine.Labor Day, Monday, will be full summer. Sunny and hot for most spots. Highs reach well into the 80's for both peninsulas, and temperatures only go up from there. By Tuesday many locations flirt with record high temperatures in the 90's.

Friday, August 22, 2008

Weeknd Get's Some Rain


Limited showers and thunderstorms have broken out already this afternoon and while chances of rain diminish some overnight, the best chances for widespread rains comes tomorrow. The few evening showers will taper off tonight. Look for cloudy skies and mild overnight temperatures with lows only in the 60's to near 70. Winds will remain breezy from the S-SW. Saturday starts with chances of rain right away though the most likely showers occur during the late morning and through the afternoon. Earliest rains will be across the far northern counties and the eastern UP. Mid-day and afternoon showers are more likely across most of the lower penninsula. Highs tomorrow reach the upper 70's far north to mid-80's far south. Winds will be brisk from the SW shifting NNW late in the afternoon or evening.Saturday night we dry out and Sunday looks mostly sunny, cool and dry. Highs will reach the upper 60's to mid 70's, only. Monday through Wednesday look dry. Our next good chance of rain doesn't arrive until Thursday.

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay Won't Leave

Well It's Been about a week since we first started to worry about tropical storm fay. It is really doing a good thing for the south west. They are in a serious drought that has been going on for years. This won't end it... But it will really help!


Here is the forecasted track that we think Tropical Storm fay will take. Now currently fay has straightened to winds at 60 MPH and the pressure is at 997 and is dropping. Now we expect fay to hit land again tomorrow over the northern part of Florida. Then move into Georgia and Alabama into the next few days. Which is going to really help there drought down there.

Now There was some forecast models that was pointing on fay to move up into our region and then we would get a few inches of rain which was good. But i said this in my previous post that i do not like the highs right now. We have to highs that is keeping rain from moving into northern Michigan. They have also made fay stay down to the south. So that's why we aren't getting any rain.



Now the forecast models are all over the place. As you can see the diagram that there is some that is pointing that day will go into the gulf and some say fay will move north. But most of them are pointing that fay will just meander around the SW region for a while. Then the high pressure system will start to break down and then we will start seeing chances of rain.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Northern Michigan NEED's RAIN

Wow is it dry.. We haven't seen a good soaking rain since June when we has all the 10 Inches of rain in like 2 Day's.But Now we need some. I would really like it if it came in the form of severe weather.But any rain is good. The 8-day forecast is showing some rain on Saturday.But I'm not keeping my hopes up.What i really think is going to happen is that some areas will see some rain but it won't be a wide spread thing and i don't think that it will help us much.This dry slot that we are seeing in NM is from these Stupid High Pressure systems that just sit and keep everything dry.As you can tell there not my favorite...



Here's The Forecast High Pressure is going delivering some cool nights. Tonight's skies remain clear and allows all of today's heat to escape back to space. That means some cool temperatures. Much of the region will drop down into the 40's, but some of the normally colder spots can expect readings in the 30's.Tomorrow is just like today with sunny skies. You could call it Arizona weather but with highs in the 70's to low 80's. Thursday continues the trend of bright sunshine but with slightly warmer temperatures. It looks like all of the area will see highs in the 80's. The humidity rises Thursday night, so it won't be all that cold. Look for lows in the 50's and 60's. The humidity continues increasing Friday along with the heat too. Some spots will be near 90 Friday with the possibility of few afternoon showers or storms. The next decent chance of wet weather arrives Saturday. That chance comes along a very strong cold front. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected as the system comes through. You could see some heavy rain and strong winds. Skies will calm down considerably going into Sunday. Fire Danger is Moderate to High across Northern Michigan. With dry air expected the next few days, we do not see any improvement until Saturday.

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Next Week Looking Dry and Hot

Today was a nice Day. We had a few rain showers and some storms with small or any rain amounts. Some indications are that this could be the last rain that we see in 10 Days. Which means that the fire danger is back on the rise. Some that this something to watch out for. Now the forecast Models are saying that there is going to be a low that is going to meander up north. Now it all depends how much farther north it goes. If it stays down south than we are going to be dry and really really warm. Now if it moves farther north we could see quite a bit of rain fall. So i will keep you updated



Here is the forecast. Tomorrow looks little different than today with generous sunshine early on, then more cloudiness and a chance of a few showers. It does look like tomorrow will produce even fewer showers than today while temperatures remain much the same. Highs in the 70's.Saturday and Sunday begin a solid warm-up. Highs on Saturday will reach upper 70's to mid 80's. By Sunday highs reach the 80's for almost all and next week looks like it will be even warmer with highs reaching the upper 80's or more. The weekend looks dry at this time. In fact our next chance of rain doesn't appear in the forecasts until later next week.

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Dry Week Ahead


Well today we did see some pop-corn clouds as we call it pop up. There caused by the day time heating. But really nothing happened today in the weather department. We are watching some rain that is in wisconsin. But we are in High Pressure and the rain will dive down to our south. We really need some rain, starting to get dry out there.



Here is the forecast. No showers, yet, but through the evening hours a random pop-up shower is still possible especially across our far NE counties in lower Michigan. Lows overnight, like last night, hit the upper 40's to mid 50's. Wednesday will be a little cloudier and therefore slightly cooler. It may be the best day for chances of rain but showers should be widely scattered and not, too, numerous spreading north to south during the day. Highs tomorrow range from 72 to 79.Wednesday night and Thursday will be mostly dry though, again, there is a slight chance for isolated showers both periods. Highs remain in the 70's to near 80. Lows in the 50's.By Friday high pressure takes over once more and we are looking at excellent conditions Friday, Saturday and likely Sunday. Skies should be sunny to partly cloudy all three days with the cloudiest period being late Sunday. Temperatures will range through the 70's to low 80's.

Thursday, August 7, 2008

More Storms Today And Cool Air Is On The Way


There Was A Few Storms this Afternoon and there was some small hail reports. Nothing Much. We also had some severe thunderstorm warnings. It was kind of a cool rain pattern. The rain set up in bands and it looked like lake affect snow.... But thats way off...we hope! As You can see this is what the rain looked like on our very own XTREME Doppler...Anyway Heres the Forecast



Tonight, mostly dry conditions are expected. Lows will be in the 50's.Friday could be a repeat performance with mixed skies with a few thunderstorms mostly near the Lake Huron area. Highs will be in the lower to middle 70's with some upper 60's near Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.The weekend is looking more and more unsettled now. A cold front is now forecasted to drop southward into the region. This will give us a chance for a few showers and storms Saturday into Sunday a.m...then clearing out for Sunday afternoon and evening.

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

Storms Are Moving In


Heres the Scoop. We have Some Storms Moving In From Wisonsion. There could be some heavy downpoors. We really arnt Expetcting severe weather. But you never know, mother nature can do some amazing things. After this round of storms that you can see just on the left edge of our Xreme Doppler. We are expecting some rain to move through the night. Which will give us some much needed rain!


Here's the Forecast. Look for lots of northwest winds in the coming days, some sunshine at times, and also hit and miss afternoon showers to go with the cool air aloft. Tonight's lows will be mainly in the 50s. Tomorrow will be a tad cooler, but not much, with 70s across the board and another late day shower/storm chance. Friday and Saturday will be the coolest of the forecast period with highs in the upper 60s for the UP and even much of northern lower, with low to MAYBE mid 70s south. Sunday will warm again to the 70s but Monday the cool air may make another push. Lows Friday and Saturday night will likely fall to the 40 in many areas with 50s near the lakes and areas of fog.



I also want to tell people that there could be some big changes to the weather page. What there doing is shutting down googlepages. So i have an idea that im going to do. Its with the help of a T.V station in Cadillac Called Local Edition. I'm just going to tell you that they are really good people! Can't wait to work with them. So i will tell you as we work things out. But for now don't Worry... Everything will work out!

Monday, August 4, 2008

Nice Day in The North... Soggy day in the south

Hey guys,

Here is an update on the weather today. It was kind of a mixed bag. We had a nice day in the Northern Areas with temperatures in the mid-80's. We also had a pretty good day in the south with temperatures also in the mid-80's. But we did see storms fire up and head across the south. But it wasnt that bad of a day. Now we did have a few reports of some trees down but nothing to bad.

Tonight we are forecasting temperatures will be in the lower to mid-60's and it will be quite humid. Now we do have to watch for the possiblitly for some storms. Because we have dew points that are in the middle and upper 60's which is quite humid. For tomorrow we expect temperatures to be in the low 80's and we do expect some rain to move through and we could see some storong or severe storms. Not as nice as today.

Friday, August 1, 2008

Storm's End and Weekend Looking Amazing


Today was intersting. We did have a severe thunderstrom watch but that was just a percoustion. We could have had a lot worse. We did not ecpect the storms to die over the lakes. The storms did not refire over Northern Michigan. So you may have gotten a shower but we didn't have a bad night. This weekend is looking amazing. We expect Temperatures in the 70's and 80's With all SUNSHINE!!! We are expecting some showers on sunday night but nothing to go home about. So have a fun weekend and I will be back on monday....posibly watch for some more storms. But we will worry about that latter.