Sunday, March 29, 2009

Snow Will Be Coming To an End...Watch For Freezing Drizzle

So We didn't see as much ice as we could have..At the last moment the temps dropped another 2 degrees which saved a lot of people from being hit with quite a bit of ice.

Now there is still a few warning in effect until later this evening as show by the picture below.
The storm that dumped 6" (locally more) of snow in spots since last night will continue to exit the eastern Great Lakes. Some areas did not see a whole lot of snow (far Eastern U.P. and NE/E Lower Michigan).

Some total snow reports as of early p.m.:
Curtis in Mackinac Co: 9.0"
Meauwataka in Wexford Co: 7.5"
Cadillac 6.0"
Dighton (9&10 News) 6.0"
Frankfort 6.0"
Newberry 6.0"
Good Hart 5.0"
Paradise 4.0"
Sault Ste Marie 3.0"
Scottville 3.0"
2nd SSM Report 1.0"

(email us weather@9and10news.com or drodenbaugh@hotmail.com )

Behind this system, we will still see some snowshowers (mixed with rainshowers and sleet at times). There will be a few heavier snow bursts before we start to completely quiet down later tonight into Monday morning.Some sunshine returns for Monday. Highs will be in the upper 30's north and into the 40's south. So a much brighter day, for sure!

Rainshowers are looking more and more likely for later Tuesday with a chance for a few rain/snowshowers on Wednesday.Another storm system needs to be watched for later Thursday into Friday.

Snow is possible (or a mix) with this system overnight.While we will see a break from storminess for late Friday into Saturday, yet another system could hit us for Sunday and early next week.

-Meteorologist Jim Lehocky

Saturday, March 28, 2009

Its Officially Spring but the Weather Isn't Showing It

Officially Its Spring...but the weather isn't showing a hint that its spring.. We are forecasting 5-10 Inches of snow with possibly a .10" hundreds of ice.. Now of coarse my hero Jim Lehocky has been all over this and is explaining what this storm is doing in detail..

**Numerous Winter Weather Alerts**

The storm continues to be on track for tonight and Sunday.

*Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories have been posted for parts of the viewing area*

The computer models continue to be in general agreement on path of storm with the heaviest snow in W/NW Michigan to the Tip of the Mitt to the Eastern U.P. Check out the regional radar loop here to see where the heaviest snow is falling with this system..and the movement.

The storm will move on through Jackson Michigan around daybreak Sunday.This puts all of the viewing area in the cold part of this storm. However, just a few thousand feet above the surface, we will see some warmer air move in from the SE and station itself south of a line from Rogers City to Howard City.

This will complicate the forecast even more because we have a chance for see some mix of snow, freezing rain, sleet and very cold rain which will hamper snow amounts, but will make travel very difficult nonetheless. Areas near Big Rapids, Mt. Pleasant, Gladwin and Midland could see mostly a cold rain tonight.

Remember, a temp drop of a degree or two could mean a freezing rain/mix event.So, again, later tonight and early Sunday, south of a Rogers City-Howard City line, we have that chance for sloppy and slick mix. North of that line, including into the U.P., it should be mainly a snow event.And that leads us to snow totals.

We have to take into account A LOT of factors here for snow totals. This storm is coming through late tonight and early Sunday. Temperatures will be cold enough to support heavy snow in NW/W Lower Michigan and the E. U.P. But we have seen the ground warm up during the daytime hours the past few weeks and that could and will limit some higher amounts.

Also, *any change of path of this storm and any change in the upper level temperature profiles will change where the heavy snow falls compared to the slick and sloppy mix.Ok. In terms of total snowfall for late tonight through Sunday.....

I believe the heaviest snow (5"-10"+) will fall from Oceana/Newaygo Counties NE to Cheboygan County also into Chippewa and Mackinac Counties in the E.U.P. This includes all of NW Lower Michigan in this particular area. Now, with that forecasted mix south of that Rogers City-Howard City line, amounts should be less.

The winds will be brisk tonight and Sunday adding to the misery of the storm. Winds will be NE overnight 12-22mph and gusty. On Sunday, the winds will shift more to the N/NW 15-25mph and gusty.

The bulk of the storm will exit the region (from SW to NE) late in the day Sunday, but the wrap around moisture will give us more snow (and rain/snow mix) through the afternoon hours with some additional, sloppy accumulations in the U.P. and NE Lower Michigan.

-Jim Lehocky, Meteorologist

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Turning Colder...Watching This Weekends Storm

The skies over Northern Michigan have been clearing nicely this afternoon, the exception is in the U.P. where the clouds are staying thick. A weak cold front coming through tonight will deliver some colder temperatures. Overnight lows of 23 to 32 are expected. You will see more clouds North of M-72 tomorrow as the colder air sits overhead.

Further south, you will see more sunshine and thus warmer temperatures. The U.P. and spots in the thick clouds will see highs in the 30's. Those of you south of M-55 be ready for warmer temperatures with highs in the 40's to near 50 in Mt. Pleasant. North of the straits the cold air will be thick enough to set off a few flurries or snow showers. Our eyes are still focused on a big weekend storm. Saturday starts off quiet but by the afternoon you'll notice a change coming. Winds will be picking up and the clouds rolling in.

Rain is expected to move in and then mix or change over to snow Saturday night. This storm looks to be a messy one, so be prepared for almost anything. Sunday's winds stay very strong blowing the rain and snow around. As colder air moves in any mix will turn over to snow by the afternoon hours. Monday's weather is only a short break before another storm heads into Northern Michigan on Tuesday. This one also looks to bring in a messy mix of rain/ snow and strong winds.

Stay tuned for details.

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Monday, March 23, 2009

Brisk Winds Continue...Rain Moving In Tomorrow Night

Strong high pressure to our east and a pretty strong area of low pressure to our west will provide us with a windy period through Tuesday evening. Winds will be E/SE 12-22mph and gusty.

Then the system moves through Wednesday a.m. with winds shifting to the west.These cool, dry winds will eat away at most of the rain that tries to make it into the region today-Tuesday. But eventually the rain will win.

The best chance for rain will be later Tuesday into Wednesday a.m.*The strong E/SE winds and very low relative humidities will create an elevated fire danger this afternoon and evening. Fires can easily spread in conditions at this time of year because vegitation is still dormant and dried out.

Highs today will be in the middle to upper 30's north to the 40' south. Lows tonight will be in the middle 20's and lower 30's. There is a chance for some sprinkles near Lake Michigan in Oceana and Mason counties today But, again, with those winds eating away at the moisture, we expect most areas to be dry with mid to high level cloudiness.

Highs on Tuesday will be a few degrees warmer as the chance for rain increases later on especially into the late evening and nighttime hours.Showers and thundershowers are likely Wednesday a.m. then tapering off to scattered showers and drizzle into the p.m.

Thursday is looking dry but the shower chance once again enters the picture for later Friday into the weekend. It will also be windy Friday-Sunday.

-Meteorologist Jim Lehocky

Thursday, March 19, 2009

Congrats and Clearing Skies


First Of all I want To say Congratulations to the McBain Rural Agricultural Schools Girls for being the finals for the State Championship! The last time they went that far it was 1984. So great job girls!

Now back to the weather:
High pressure is sliding into the region tonight. It's very cold and dry, so the clouds you see right now are not going to last. Much of the night will be clear and that means some very cold temperatures. Lows range from 5 to 15 degrees.


Spring begins at 7:44 AM with a lot of sunshine. It may be cold but don't worry the sun is going to warm things very nicely. Highs will be about normal with a range of 35 to 43 degrees. Friday night brings a return of clouds and the small chance of a shower.

That chance continues into Saturday afternoon. Skies Saturday look to be cloudy to mostly cloudy with highs in the 40's.Sunday shows periods of sunshine and some warmer temperatures. Highs are going to be in the 40's and 50s.

Monday is now looking dry but rather cloudy with the mild weather continuing.
Dylan Rodnebuagh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Cooler Weather Moving In For the Rest Of The Week

Although we are much cooler than yesterday, we are still looking at high temperatures today above the normals (38 north to 43 south).

The mercury will rise up into the 40's north and into the 50's south.In terms of sky cover, we are looking at a mix of sun and clouds with a slight chance for a shower or two in the far north by evening as a secondary cold front approaches out of Canada.

This same cold front will usher in cooler (ok...colder) air for later tonight and Thursday. We might be able to squeak out a few lake snowshowers as the winds shift out of the NW. Lows tonight will be in the teens and lower to middle 20's.

Highs on Thursday will be around 30 in the north and upper 30's in the south.

Spring officially starts Friday at 7:44a.m. It is basically going to be a "normal" Spring Day with some sunshine and temperatures where they should be...into the middle 30's north and lower 40's south.

Saturday is looking dry although we will see a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the upper 30's to middle 40's south.

The chance for rain increases later Sunday into early next week.

-Meteorologist Jim Lehocky

Monday, March 16, 2009

60's Tomorrow Watching The Weekend

Plain and simple. We have been pretty spoiled the past three days (including today) with the sunshine and progressively mild temperatures.

The mercury was able to reach up into the middle 40's to lower 50's north (coolest near Lake Michigan and Superior) and into the middle 50's and some lower 60's south.Tonight, clear skies are likely with some patchy haze.

Lows will be in the 20's and lower/middle 30's.A cold front will move on through the region late Tuesday evening/early Wednesday morning giving us a chance for a few showers at that time. There is a slight chance for a thundershower or two. But before that happens, we will see some very mild temperatures.

Even as the clouds increase, the mercury will jump up dramatically. Highs in the U.P. will be in the 50's. Across much of the L.P. we will see highs in the 60's. There is a chance for a few lower 70's especially in the southern areas.

Of course, we will see the coolest temperatures near Lake Michigan.After a chance for some early morning showers on Wednesday, skies will be variably cloudy. It will be cooler but still rather pleasant with highs in the 40's and some lower 50's.Thursday (the last day of Winter!) is looking partly to mostly sunny with a few light lake snowshowers off of Lake Superior and Lake Michigan.

Highs will be in the middle 30's to lower 40's.Spring starts Friday at 7:44a.m. and we are looking at a mostly sunny day with clouds increasing late in the north.

The weekend is looking somewhat unsettled. We are going to have to keep an eye on the rain and storm threat

Stay Tuned

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
http://www.dylansweather.com/

Sunday, March 15, 2009

Spring Starts This Friday, Dylan Is Going To Florida

Today will be partly cloudy with highs in the lower 40's north to middle to upper 40's south. Some areas with no, or little, snowcover will possibly get to around 50!

Monday is looking dry with partly cloudy skies. Highs will be in the middle 40's north to lower 50s' south.A cold front will move through

Tuesday afternoon. It will give us a chance for some showers. But it will be mild with highs in the middle to upper 40's north and in the 50's south.

It will be cooler on Wednesday with a chance for a scattered rain/snow mix. Highs will be in the middle to upper 30's north to the lower/middle 40's south.

Thursday is looking partly cloudy with highs in middle 30's to lower 40's. We could see a snowshower or two later on.

Friday will be a bit cooler than normal (Spring starts at 7:44a.m. Friday!) with highs in the 30's and a chance for a few snowshowers.

Now here is one more big piece news. I am going to Florida with my school for 5 days! Now yes we have to drive down there which could could be interesting... But i am thinking i will like the Nice Hot Weather!! So i think this will be my last post until Next week and then a week after Florida we it will be on spring break so it could not work better. So i will have pictures and updates after i get back. But i checked the forecast and it looks like we will have lower 80's for the entire time and only one day with a chance of t-storms but that is only a 30% chance..

So talk to you next week..I'm going to Florida!!!

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Intense Storm Moves Through Northern Michigan Tonight

We are keeping an eye on a storm system that will zip on through the region tonight and early Wednesday.

Ahead of it for the rest of today, we are still looking at a mix of sleet, snow and rain in the north and plain ol' rain south of M-72/M-55.

Highs today will be in the middle 30's north to the lower/middle 40's south. Winds will be out of the E/SE 8-18 mph heading into the evening hours.

Tonight is going to be quite interesting. The low will track on through the central U.P. On the west side of the low (the western 1/4 of the U.P. and NW Wisconsin) could see blizzard conditions later tonight and Wednesday.The cold front will swing on through the region around midnight (+/- a couple hours either way).

Ahead of it, we will see rain and a chance for thunderstorms. Behind it, the winds will howl as cold air slams into the region.Temperatures this evening (up to the front passage) will be in the 30's and 40's.Temperatures around 8a.m. Wednesday will be in the upper teens west to the middle/uppper 20's east near Lake Huron.

Whatever liquid we have remaining on the roads in the early morning hours could very well "rapid freeze" especially around and just after daybreak.The winds will be a big concern once the cold front passes through the region after midnight. Ahead of it, winds will be out of the SE 10-20mph, but behind it, they will shift from the West 20-40mph and gusty.

*High Wind Watches and Advisories are posted for the region*These strong winds will continue into Wednesday p.m. but shift more to the NW. Lake effect snowshowers are likely...but with the strong winds and plenty of ice cover on the Great Lakes, snow amounts will be held in check.

Things quite down for Thursday, Friday and Saturday. On Sunday, though, we could see yet another storm.

Keep it tuned to 9&10 Weather and Dylan's Weather for the latest in forecast updates!

-Meteorologist Jim Lehocky

Thursday, March 5, 2009

New Hail Minimum Requirements for Michigan


In Partner with the National Weather Service. The Central Region of the United States has agreed to now only issue Severe Thunderstorm Warning if hail has reached 1.00" In diameter. With also Severe Damaging Winds.

Here is a video explaining this change:

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/crh/One_Inch_Hail_Podcast.wmv

"This is a secure site from the government."

Now basically in lamens terms it means that we will hopefully see less Severe Thunderstorm Warnings. For Example, When a Tornado Warning is issued people usually take it very seriously and take immediate action. Well the NWS thinks that Severe Warnings are issued to frequently and that they should trim them down. Its not a huge change but it does mean that if a Severe Thunderstorm Warning is issued..It means that storm will be packing a little more of a Punch...

-Dylan Rodenbaugh

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Warm, Rainy, Icey, AWWW Got To Love Spring!!!

A storm system will be taking aim on the region for Saturday and Sunday.It appears that this will be a "warm" system giving us mostly a rain (and thunder) threat. There is, however, a chance for an occasional mix in the U.P. and Straits area for Saturday as temperatures here will only reach into the middle to upper 30's. Farther south, we are looking at temperatures mostly in the 40's....hence a rain event is looking likely for both days. Dense fog is also expected Saturday night with the warmer air overrunning the snow pack that still exists in many areas (mostly north of US-10).While the weekend in general is looking gloomy, Sunday will be the day we will have to monitor flooding potential especially in our central counties. There is also a chance for thunderstorms that will enhance the heavy rain threat. Highs on Sunday will be similar to Saturday's highs.In the near term....for tonight, we are looking at partly cloud skies early then increasing clouds later on. Lows will be in the teens and lower 20's.With considerable cloudiness Thursday along with a chance for some light drizzle/rain in the L.P. and some very light mix in the U.P., highs will be in the middle 30's north to lower/middle 40's south.On Friday, skies will clear up a bit allowing some sunshine through. Highs will be in the lower 40's north and upper 40's to lower 50's south.Then getting ready for that unsettled weekend!

-Meteorologist Jim Lehocky....

Now also i want to add in that we are going to see 3 systems to come together to bring possibly a MONSTER storm. Now there could be a huge problem. We could either see rain, or ICE... If we see the ice. The storm system would be called an official ice storm.

I will have a better update tomorrow...its getting late...

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Dylan's Weather Going Under Amazing Changes

Ok first of all i want to tell everybody the weather before we get to far into the website design. The weather for the rest of the week is going to basically going to be warm. We are going to see some clouds but really i do not think anyone is going to argue with 40's for temps!!!!

Also i just want to tell you. The NWS came out with an official snow fall report so far this winter. Cadillac has had 215" so far this year. That breaks the all time record!!! WOW

Ok now i want to say sorry that the website content wasn't updated for 3 days. We have had Internet problems and those i really cant control.

Ok now i also want to tell everyone this. I am going to stop all major improvements to the website until after June 13th, I know that i will make small minor changes to the site. But i have some really amazing plans for the site. I want to put a live weather ticker on the website. I also want to start a twitter account so we can have live weather updates. Now on more really huge change that i want tot make is moving the blog. I am very limited to what i can do with the blog. So i think i am going to move the blog on my sever...Now its going to be a big pain in the neck at first. That's why i am not going ahead with any monstrous changes until after school is done.

Stay tuned to Dylan's Weather.com It will be really interesting. Cant Wait for severe storms!!!

Talk To You Soon
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist