Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Dylan's Weather blog Is Moving!

Ok now we arent moving far..I just wanted the blog to be on our sever....Ok so now here is the new forecast blog link....its www.dylansweather.com/blog

Sunday, March 29, 2009

Snow Will Be Coming To an End...Watch For Freezing Drizzle

So We didn't see as much ice as we could have..At the last moment the temps dropped another 2 degrees which saved a lot of people from being hit with quite a bit of ice.

Now there is still a few warning in effect until later this evening as show by the picture below.
The storm that dumped 6" (locally more) of snow in spots since last night will continue to exit the eastern Great Lakes. Some areas did not see a whole lot of snow (far Eastern U.P. and NE/E Lower Michigan).

Some total snow reports as of early p.m.:
Curtis in Mackinac Co: 9.0"
Meauwataka in Wexford Co: 7.5"
Cadillac 6.0"
Dighton (9&10 News) 6.0"
Frankfort 6.0"
Newberry 6.0"
Good Hart 5.0"
Paradise 4.0"
Sault Ste Marie 3.0"
Scottville 3.0"
2nd SSM Report 1.0"

(email us weather@9and10news.com or drodenbaugh@hotmail.com )

Behind this system, we will still see some snowshowers (mixed with rainshowers and sleet at times). There will be a few heavier snow bursts before we start to completely quiet down later tonight into Monday morning.Some sunshine returns for Monday. Highs will be in the upper 30's north and into the 40's south. So a much brighter day, for sure!

Rainshowers are looking more and more likely for later Tuesday with a chance for a few rain/snowshowers on Wednesday.Another storm system needs to be watched for later Thursday into Friday.

Snow is possible (or a mix) with this system overnight.While we will see a break from storminess for late Friday into Saturday, yet another system could hit us for Sunday and early next week.

-Meteorologist Jim Lehocky

Saturday, March 28, 2009

Its Officially Spring but the Weather Isn't Showing It

Officially Its Spring...but the weather isn't showing a hint that its spring.. We are forecasting 5-10 Inches of snow with possibly a .10" hundreds of ice.. Now of coarse my hero Jim Lehocky has been all over this and is explaining what this storm is doing in detail..

**Numerous Winter Weather Alerts**

The storm continues to be on track for tonight and Sunday.

*Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories have been posted for parts of the viewing area*

The computer models continue to be in general agreement on path of storm with the heaviest snow in W/NW Michigan to the Tip of the Mitt to the Eastern U.P. Check out the regional radar loop here to see where the heaviest snow is falling with this system..and the movement.

The storm will move on through Jackson Michigan around daybreak Sunday.This puts all of the viewing area in the cold part of this storm. However, just a few thousand feet above the surface, we will see some warmer air move in from the SE and station itself south of a line from Rogers City to Howard City.

This will complicate the forecast even more because we have a chance for see some mix of snow, freezing rain, sleet and very cold rain which will hamper snow amounts, but will make travel very difficult nonetheless. Areas near Big Rapids, Mt. Pleasant, Gladwin and Midland could see mostly a cold rain tonight.

Remember, a temp drop of a degree or two could mean a freezing rain/mix event.So, again, later tonight and early Sunday, south of a Rogers City-Howard City line, we have that chance for sloppy and slick mix. North of that line, including into the U.P., it should be mainly a snow event.And that leads us to snow totals.

We have to take into account A LOT of factors here for snow totals. This storm is coming through late tonight and early Sunday. Temperatures will be cold enough to support heavy snow in NW/W Lower Michigan and the E. U.P. But we have seen the ground warm up during the daytime hours the past few weeks and that could and will limit some higher amounts.

Also, *any change of path of this storm and any change in the upper level temperature profiles will change where the heavy snow falls compared to the slick and sloppy mix.Ok. In terms of total snowfall for late tonight through Sunday.....

I believe the heaviest snow (5"-10"+) will fall from Oceana/Newaygo Counties NE to Cheboygan County also into Chippewa and Mackinac Counties in the E.U.P. This includes all of NW Lower Michigan in this particular area. Now, with that forecasted mix south of that Rogers City-Howard City line, amounts should be less.

The winds will be brisk tonight and Sunday adding to the misery of the storm. Winds will be NE overnight 12-22mph and gusty. On Sunday, the winds will shift more to the N/NW 15-25mph and gusty.

The bulk of the storm will exit the region (from SW to NE) late in the day Sunday, but the wrap around moisture will give us more snow (and rain/snow mix) through the afternoon hours with some additional, sloppy accumulations in the U.P. and NE Lower Michigan.

-Jim Lehocky, Meteorologist

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Turning Colder...Watching This Weekends Storm

The skies over Northern Michigan have been clearing nicely this afternoon, the exception is in the U.P. where the clouds are staying thick. A weak cold front coming through tonight will deliver some colder temperatures. Overnight lows of 23 to 32 are expected. You will see more clouds North of M-72 tomorrow as the colder air sits overhead.

Further south, you will see more sunshine and thus warmer temperatures. The U.P. and spots in the thick clouds will see highs in the 30's. Those of you south of M-55 be ready for warmer temperatures with highs in the 40's to near 50 in Mt. Pleasant. North of the straits the cold air will be thick enough to set off a few flurries or snow showers. Our eyes are still focused on a big weekend storm. Saturday starts off quiet but by the afternoon you'll notice a change coming. Winds will be picking up and the clouds rolling in.

Rain is expected to move in and then mix or change over to snow Saturday night. This storm looks to be a messy one, so be prepared for almost anything. Sunday's winds stay very strong blowing the rain and snow around. As colder air moves in any mix will turn over to snow by the afternoon hours. Monday's weather is only a short break before another storm heads into Northern Michigan on Tuesday. This one also looks to bring in a messy mix of rain/ snow and strong winds.

Stay tuned for details.

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Monday, March 23, 2009

Brisk Winds Continue...Rain Moving In Tomorrow Night

Strong high pressure to our east and a pretty strong area of low pressure to our west will provide us with a windy period through Tuesday evening. Winds will be E/SE 12-22mph and gusty.

Then the system moves through Wednesday a.m. with winds shifting to the west.These cool, dry winds will eat away at most of the rain that tries to make it into the region today-Tuesday. But eventually the rain will win.

The best chance for rain will be later Tuesday into Wednesday a.m.*The strong E/SE winds and very low relative humidities will create an elevated fire danger this afternoon and evening. Fires can easily spread in conditions at this time of year because vegitation is still dormant and dried out.

Highs today will be in the middle to upper 30's north to the 40' south. Lows tonight will be in the middle 20's and lower 30's. There is a chance for some sprinkles near Lake Michigan in Oceana and Mason counties today But, again, with those winds eating away at the moisture, we expect most areas to be dry with mid to high level cloudiness.

Highs on Tuesday will be a few degrees warmer as the chance for rain increases later on especially into the late evening and nighttime hours.Showers and thundershowers are likely Wednesday a.m. then tapering off to scattered showers and drizzle into the p.m.

Thursday is looking dry but the shower chance once again enters the picture for later Friday into the weekend. It will also be windy Friday-Sunday.

-Meteorologist Jim Lehocky