Friday, February 27, 2009

Storm Makes A Nasty Impact With Ice/Snow/Rain

Some snow totals emailed and called in to the Weather Center:

Raber 8"
Cedarville 8"
Topinabee 8"
Rogers City 7"
Paradise 7"
Cheboygan 7"
Grace Harbor 7"
Cross Village 6"
Wolverine 5"
Tower 5"
Suttons Bay 3"
Mancelona 2"

Some overnight rainfall amounts:

Newaygo 1.80"
Fremont 1.63"
Mt. Pleasant 1.52"
Saginaw 1.38"

The storm hit the region as expected.....but it never really came "together" for many of us as the computer models (and us forecasters) thought it would.Heavy snow tracked on through extreme northern lower Michigan and the U.P. through the first part of the night....while areas south of Frankfort/Gaylord/Alpena to M-55 saw a mix and rain. South of M-55 it was mostly rain through 230a.m.

*We do have some remaining warnings and advisories in effect including a Blizzard Warning for Alger and Marquette Counties in the central U.P.*

This storm jaunted a bit farther north than expected so the rain moved a bit farther north thus the snow moved a bit farther north as well.Please email us at weather@9and10news.com with your current conditions and snow totals (or ice/rain totals)!The cold air will continue to spill in today...temperatures this afternoon will be in the teens north to the lower 20's south.There will be a occasional snowshowers through the day especially near Lake Michigan and Lake Superior put a coating of snow on the frozen ground making things a bit more slippery.Winds will be out of the north today at 15-25mph and gusty adding to the chill.The weekend is looking colder than normal with highs in the teens and 20's but other than a few light snowshowers being possible, it is looking pretty quiet!

-Meteorologist Jim Lehocky

Thursday, February 26, 2009

Storm Track Has Moved Just A Little

Ok The Storm Track has moved a little bit. That means more snow for the north and freezing ran for M-55 south....Yay :(


Jim Lehocky Has This Update..
A fast moving storm system will zip on through the region overnight tonight.Despite its fast moving nature, it will provide much of the state with some type of weather concern.

First off, we are looking at the potential for some freezing rain/mix late afternoon along and south of M-55. This threat will continue through much of the evening hours before it changes over to snow. Total snow accumulations in this area (on top of the freezing rain/mix) will be around 2"-4".

If we stay "warm" enough where the freezing rain/mix sticks around longer, snow amounts will be less. If some colder air gets into this system quicker...even by a couple of hours, even parts of our central counties could see heavier snow totals.From M-55 north to around M-32, we are looking at a chance for a brief mix of freezing rain/snow this evening then a rapid changeover to snow will occur. We are looking at 4"-6" of snow here by daybreak.

Locally higher amounts are possible.From M-32 north to Eastern Mackinac County/SE Chippewa County, mostly snow is likely with the most intense snow moving through late evening through a several hours after midnight. Amount here by daybreak will be 6"-8" but we should see some areas topping 8". Western Mackinac County should see the lesser amount of snow.In Chippewa and Luce Counties in the U.P. snow is likely and some will be heavy. Amounts will be 4"-8" with the lesser amounts likely farther NW of I-75. So, as you can see, travel conditions will worsen through the evening hours in all areas and continue through much of the nighttime hours.To top it off, winds on the backside of this system by daybreak will be out of the North at 15-25mph with gusts over 30mph.With the freezing rain/mix, heavy snow potential and the strong winds Friday a.m., this is a high-impact storm.

Highs today will be in the lower 30's north to middle to upper 30's south before the precip moves in late p.m. Lows tonight will be in the single digits to lower teens north and into the teens to around 20 south.Numerous warnings and advisories have been issued by the National Weather Service. Please check out the Winter Weather Alert graphic on www.9and10news.com for the latest county outline.It will be colder and windy for Friday afternoon with partly cloudy skies with only a few snowshowers expected.A quiet weekend is in store with cooler than normal temperatures with partly cloudy skies and only a few light snowshowers possible.

With this storm expected for tonight, remember, *any change in the storm track will change the snow amounts in your area. We will continue to monitor this storm and keep you updated right here and also on 9&10 News*.

-Meteorologist Jim Lehocky

Stay Tuned To The Blog..I Will try to have updated if anything changes.
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Big Storm Moving In Thursday Night

Ok here we go once again. But this system has quite a punch to it and has gave us a huge forecasting challenge. It seem like every day we would have a new forecast track with new ideas on how the storm was going to affect us. Ok now just to give everyone a heads up this forecast still could change and even one of my forecast products said we could have all rain. Which i really don't think is going to happen. Anyways the totals came out to be as much as 15 inches and as low as 3-4" inches with ice. GREAT....

Ok Now here is Meteorologist Jim Lehockys point of view on this really complex system.

We are still expecting a high-impact winter storm to hit the state Thursday evening through Friday morning.

*Winter Storm Watch* has been posted for Thursday afternoon-Friday A.M. for much of Northern Michigan. Please check out the Winter Weather Alert Graphic for more details on the counties included*

*Winter Weather Advisory* for Luce, Chippewa and Mackinac Counties through 7p.m. today for a few inches of snow*

This storm will have a lot of energy with it giving us the potential to see heavy snow, some icy mix, and windy conditions.

This is what I am going with:

A heavy swath of snow should fall in an area from Pentwater to Harrison to Harrisville north to the Eastern U.P. So basically, much of the viewing area has the chance to see heavy snow. Not only do we have the snow to worry about, we have the chance to see some icy mix just south of the snow area. That puts the icy mix south of that Pentwater-Harrison-Harrisville line to the Grand Rapids-Flint area. Remember, any fluctuation of the storm track will move the precip areas accordingly.

Yesterday morning, most of the computer models were tracking the storm farther south. Even a slight change of course will alter the forecast.Snow amounts could be hefty. As a matter of fact, the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (National Weather Service) has put Northern Michigan and the U.P. in the path of the heaviest snow, also. In excess of 8"-12" could fall. Traveling Thursday evening-Friday early morning will be hazardous if this storm develops and takes the expected path. Again, not only do we have the snow to contend with, we also have the chance for an icy mix in parts of central and southern Michigan.Until this all comes together, for today we are looking at occasional snow across the U.P. by midday and into the p.m. hours. 1"-3" will be possible here.

South of the Straits, we are looking at a patchy rain/snow/sleet mix.Highs today will be in the lower 30's north and middle to upper 30's south.Tonight, skies will become mostly cloudy with a small chance for freezing drizzle or mis. Lows will be in the 20's.The clouds will thicken up Thursday with the snow moving in late p.m. into the evening hours.We get new data every few hours and we will update the expected storm track right here and also on 9&10 News.-

Meteorologist Jim Lehocky,

So there it is right now. I will probally have a video on this tomorrow..Keep update on the website and the blog. Thanks

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Sunday, February 22, 2009

More Lake Effect Snow...Could See Up To 1ft by Tomorrow Morning

Its already bee an amazing snow fall already. We have see 15" at our studios in McBain. It looks like we could see another 4-6 Inches by tomorrow morning. That with blowing in drifting snow, Could mean very nasty conditions tomorrow morning. The NWS in Gaylord has issued a Winter Storm Warning until 6 A.M and also a Winter Weather Advisory until 6 A.M.

It possible that we could have some school closings or delays tomorrow morning. But i am not betting on anything because the snow bands could change. I have a video alert update coming out soon..Lets hope it doesn't take to long.

Check out some of these snow fall amounts:
Onekama: 11"
Free Soil: 13"
Lake City: 7"
Gaylord: 8"
Gladwin: 5.8"
Cadillac: 16"

Ok now we also have another storm on the horizon. It looks like we could have a pretty powerful winter storm starting Wednesday night and ending on SATURDAY.. Now this system could mean really heavy wet snow or a mix of Ice/Rain/and Snow witch no one wants. Now some of the forecast models are now taking this system farther south. We will have to see what happens.

Stay tuned to Dylan's Weather and the new Doppler I am experimenting with. Check back tomorrow morning to see if we have school or not and how bad it is outside.

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Lake Effect Snow Won't Stop

Snow, Snow, Snow..It doesn't stop. But the signs of spring are on the door.


Ok so it looks like the forecast were 50/50. Ok so the snow totals were a little off. We got about 4-5 inches of snow at Dylan's Weather in McBain. We also had a report of 35 MPH wind gust in McBain. So it wasn't like a blizzard..but we got some snow..but whats new!!!!!
Ok so we also have some warnings..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for the UP and NW Lower. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Otsego, Roscommon, Crawford, Wexford, Missaukee, Manistee, Benzie and Emmet county until Midnight.

Ok now for the rest of the week it looks like we could see some more snow. Yes of coarse its lake effect but other than that if you font usually get lake effect snow then you will be fine. OK other than the snow the temperatures will be on the cold side in the lower to middle 20's.


Now onto spring. We are 4 weeks away form the official start of spring!!!! Yipeee. Now that really means that are about 6-7 weeks away but don't be discouraged if you want spring. We will start to see warmer temperatures starting next week. Maybe into the 40's
Talk To You On Monday
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Heavy Lake Effect Snow Does Stop..The

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

"SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT NORTHERN MICHIGAN" - NWS

First of all I wanted to say that new york was amazing. There was so much to see and I can't believe that I got the chance to see all the amazing sights. Now in about a month and a half I also get the chance to go to Florida...I get to be in Disney world for 4 days!!! That should also be fun. Click here to see some of the photos

Ok now onto the weather. We are going to be in quite a mess over the next few days. Now the National Weather Service is saying that this could be quite a dandy. They are saying 6-10" Now i am thinking that could be a little off. Really i am thinking that we could see up to 14" inches in a few spots.

Here is what Jim Lehocky (the best meteorologist ever) had to say about this storm

"Remember, this storm is getting organized in western Kansas right now and will strengthen as it approaches us. It will really intensify just to our east Wednesday afternoon/evening.The first wave of heavy snow will move into the region later this evening across western lower Michigan and expand rapidly E/NE overnight....engulfing the entire viewing area. We are looking at a 2"-4"...maybe 3"-5" of snow by Wednesday mid/late-morning in many areas.We very well could see the snow diminish just a bit for the midday period in most areas before (here comes the 2nd punch) the snow *and wind increases once again mid/late p.m. into the evening and nighttime hours.

Temperatures will be in the upper 20's to middle 30's through the morning/midday hours...then the mercury should fall by mid to late p.m. once the winds really ramp up out of the NW/N at 15-25mph and gusty. As the storm system pulls away Wednesday evening, the wraparound moisture (and some energy associated with it) will continue to produce some moderate to occasionally heavy snowfall. But the winds will be the big worry. They will be out of the NW 15-25mph and gusty Wednesday evening through Thursday evening. Snowfall (on top of what we see late tonight/Wednesday a.m.) could add up quite a bit. After it's all said and done, several areas will have to chance to see over 12"-15" of snow by Thursday night...especially in the snowbelts off of Lake Superior and Lake Michigan.With the winds and colder temperatures later Wednesday through Thursday, the snow will be easier to blow around.

With the forecasted strong winds, we are looking at near blizzard conditions developing especially at night (Wed. night/Thu. a.m.). Of course, with this type of set up, there is a potential for school closings and delays (and other cancellations). Keep it tuned to 9&10 Weather for the latest in forecast updates!"

Meteorologist Jim Lehocky

Stay Tuned For The Latest Updates!!

Dylan Rodnebaugh Junior Meteorologist

Thursday, February 12, 2009

New York HERE I COME

Ok here is where the NYC pictures are going to go.

Dylan Is going to New York Starting Tonight. I am going to try to upload pictures on the Blog..I HOPE

So stay tuned..I Can't Wait...Should Be Some Much Fun..

Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist
www.dylansweather.com

Saturday, February 7, 2009

Record Highs Today. Big Storm This Week

Record Highs On This Saturday....


SHORTLY AFTER NOON, CHERRY CAPITAL AIRPORT REACHED 50 DEGREES. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 50 DEGREES LAST SET IN 1925.

AT THE GAYLORD AIRPORT...THE TEMPERATURE REACHED 45 DEGREES AT 313 PM THIS AFTERNOON...BREAKING THE OLD RECORD OF 44 DEGREES FROM 1990.

FINALLY...AT THE PELLSTON AIRPORT...THE TEMPERATURE REACHED 43 DEGREES AT 1150 AM THIS MORNING...TYING THE OLD RECORD OF 43 DEGREES LAST SET IN 1965.


Now here is the forecast. It will be sharply colder tonight, though, as a cold front is moving through. Look for lows mostly in the 20s by morning, and a refreeze of standing water on roadways, with gusty breezes at times from the northwest.

Sunday looks like a split day across the viewing area. Northern areas (generally north of M-72 in the lower peninsula) will see clouds, breezy conditions and highs in the upper 20s to near 30. Areas south of M-72 will see partly to mostly sunny skies (more sunshine the further south you go) with highs ranging from the low 30s in Traverse City to the upper 30s in Mt. Pleasant.

Temperatures will again be mild for Monday through Wednesday of this coming week. After sunshine Monday and some more upper 30s to mid 40s across the area Tuesday and Wednesday will bring scattered showers (with the slight chance of some icing in the early morning hours) but with afternoon highs generally in the upper 30s to mid 40s.

Wednesday night a storm system will approach that will bring rain initially late Wednesday that will pick up in intensity before changing over to potentially heavy snow Thursday morning. This will mark the end of our mild stretch of weather and a return to normal February temperatures for awhile.


We will continue to monitor what could be a pretty major winter storm (the kind we haven't had in a few weeks) on Thursday.

-Jim Lehocky
9and10 Meteorologist

Tuesday, February 3, 2009

Forecast Models Having Fun With This System

Ok. The blog is starting to get better and better. I am trying to make everything look nice and smooth in my spare time. I haven't had a lot of that in a while. Just please bare with me! :)


Ok now getting on to the big storm that we are expecting. The forecast models have not made up their minds yet. Some are saying that we will have two different storms and that one will be on Saturday and then on Tuesday. Some new data is saying that we could see the first system stall out over us and then the next storm moves in and almost in some words creates a MONSTER storm. Now once again there could be a lot that changes in the next few days. This could be bad. We could see Snow, Rain, and Ice in these next storms.


Ok Here is the forecast above. It is going to get quite warm!!! (and messy)

Thats the forecast. I will have another blog update tomorrow. I Hope
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist

Monday, February 2, 2009

Here We Go Again

Ok Sorry For the lack of post, I just launched a new Newscast and i was hard at work on that.

It looks that some of my earlier post were correct. I had a a theory that the jet stream would start to move northward and that the storms would follow. Well it looks like I was right. We are starting to the see pattern that was setting up before Christmas. Which brought us a big snow storm every few days. If this pattern holds true that means a lot more snow and probably some ice events with the warmer air associated the jet stream moving north.


So there is the forecast up above. As you can see there is a warming pattern!!

Thats All For Now.. Its getting Late
Dylan Rodenbaugh
Junior Meteorologist